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Surgical versus conservative management of lumbar disc prolapse: A systematic review and meta-analysis
*Corresponding author: Faaiz A. Shah, Department of Orthopedics, Lady Reading Hospital, Peshawar, Pakistan. drminamkhan71@gmail.com
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Received: ,
Accepted: ,
How to cite this article: Inam M, Shah FA, Iqbal J. Surgical versus conservative management of lumbar disc prolapse: A systematic review and meta-analysis. J Musculoskelet Surg Res. doi: 10.25259/JMSR_436_2025
Abstract
Lumbar disc prolapse is a common spinal pathology leading to significant pain, disability, and socioeconomic burden. Treatment remains controversial, with both surgical and conservative options widely practiced. This review aimed to systematically compare surgical versus conservative management of lumbar disc prolapse, focusing on pain relief, functional recovery, and long-term outcomes. A systematic search of PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, and Scopus databases was conducted for randomized controlled trials and high-quality cohort studies published between 2000 and 2024. Studies comparing surgical discectomy with conservative treatment modalities were included. Outcomes assessed were pain intensity, functional status, quality of life, recurrence, and complications. Data were pooled using a random-effects meta-analysis model. A total of 20 studies encompassing 4,965 patients were included. Surgical intervention provided superior short-term outcomes in terms of pain reduction and functional improvement at 3–6-month post-treatment (P < 0.01). However, no significant difference was observed in long-term outcomes beyond 24 months. Reoperation rates following surgery ranged from 8% to 12%, while conservative management carried risks of prolonged pain, delayed return to work, and opioid dependency. Surgery offers faster symptomatic relief and earlier functional recovery, whereas conservative management achieves comparable long-term outcomes. Treatment choice should be individualized, taking into account symptom severity, neurological status, patient preference, and socioeconomic context.
Keywords
Conservative management
Discectomy
Low back pain
Lumbar disc prolapse
Meta-analysis
Radiculopathy
Systematic review
INTRODUCTION
Lumbar disc prolapse, also termed lumbar disc herniation, is a prevalent spinal disorder caused by the displacement of nucleus pulposus material through a weakened annulus fibrosus. This pathology frequently results in nerve root compression, leading to radicular pain, sensory disturbances, motor weakness, and varying degrees of disability. Epidemiological studies suggest that up to 40% of adult experience symptomatic lumbar disc herniation during their lifetime, making it a leading cause of low back pain and sciatica worldwide.[1,2] The associated socioeconomic burden is substantial, with considerable costs related to healthcare utilization, work absenteeism, and reduced quality of life.[3]
Conservative management, comprising analgesics, physical therapy, structured exercise, and occasionally epidural steroid injections, remains the first-line treatment for most patients. Evidence indicates that a majority experience symptomatic relief within 6–8 weeks of non-operative therapy.[4,5] However, surgical intervention – most commonly lumbar discectomy – is frequently considered when pain persists, neurological deficits progress, or functional impairment becomes intolerable. Surgery is recognized for providing faster symptom resolution and an earlier return to activity; however, its long-term benefits compared to conservative strategies remain less clear.[6,7]
The literature reflects ongoing controversy. Landmark trials, such as the Spine Patient Outcomes Research Trial (SPORT), have demonstrated superior short-term outcomes with surgery but similar long-term trajectories when compared to non-operative care.[8] Conversely, other studies have suggested that prolonged conservative management may delay recovery, increase dependence on analgesics, and negatively impact socioeconomic outcomes.[9] These inconsistencies highlight the need for evidence synthesis to guide patient-centered decision-making.
Despite a large body of research, clinicians continue to face uncertainty when advising patients on the optimal timing and modality of treatment for lumbar disc prolapse. The decision to operate is often influenced not only by clinical symptoms but also by patient expectations, access to healthcare, and surgeon preference. When discussing management options, it is important to outline the full spectrum of available treatments. These typically fall into two broad categories: Conservative (non-surgical) treatments and surgical treatments. Conservative refers to non-invasive approaches that aim for symptom relief and functional improvement without surgery.[10] These include physical therapy for strengthening, stretching, and posture correction, pharmacologic management such as non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs, muscle relaxants, neuropathic agents (e.g., gabapentin), lifestyle modifications like ergonomic adjustments and weight management, injections of corticosteroids, local anesthetics, or nerve blocks, and occupational therapy.[10] The other modality is surgery, which is typically reserved for cases where conservative measures fail or when there are clear anatomical or neurological indications, such as severe neurological symptoms that progress to motor weakness, significant sensory loss, or bowel/bladder dysfunction, and persistent pain or dysfunction despite exhaustive non-surgical management.[10] A systematic comparison of surgical and conservative outcomes is therefore critical for informing shared decision-making and evidence-based guidelines.
This meta-analysis was conducted to synthesize the available evidence comparing surgical and conservative management of clinically diagnosed lumbar disc prolapse confirmed by magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). By focusing on pain relief, functional recovery, and long-term outcomes, the study aimed to clarify whether surgery provides a sustained advantage over conservative care or whether it primarily accelerates short-term recovery without altering the eventual prognosis.
MATERIALS AND METHODS
Search strategy
A systematic literature search was conducted in PubMed, Embase, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL) to identify studies comparing surgical and conservative management of lumbar disc prolapse. The search covered the period from January 2000 to December 2024. Keywords and Medical Subject Headings included “lumbar disc herniation,” “lumbar disc prolapse,” “sciatica,” “surgery,” “discectomy,” “conservative treatment,” “physical therapy,” and “randomized controlled trial.” Boolean operators (“AND,” “OR”) were applied, and reference lists of included articles and relevant reviews were manually screened to capture additional studies.
Eligibility criteria
Studies were included if they met the following criteria:
Population: Adults (≥18 years) with clinically and imaging (MRI) confirmed lumbar disc prolapse
Intervention: Surgical management (open discectomy, microdiscectomy, or minimally invasive/endoscopic discectomy)
Comparator: Conservative management, including analgesics, physiotherapy, structured exercise programs, epidural steroid injections, or multimodal rehabilitation
Outcomes: At least one of the following: pain intensity (Visual Analog Scale [VAS]), functional outcomes (Oswestry Disability Index [ODI]), quality of life, return-to-work time, recurrence, or reoperation rate
Study design: Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and prospective/retrospective cohort studies with comparative data
Language: English-language full-text publications.
Exclusion criteria
Included case series, case reports, editorials, narrative reviews, and conference abstracts without full-text.
Study selection
Two independent reviewers screened titles and abstracts for eligibility, followed by a full-text review. Disagreements were resolved by consensus or third-party adjudication. The study selection process adhered to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) 2020 guidelines, and a PRISMA flow diagram was constructed [Figure 1] to illustrate the inclusion and exclusion criteria at each stage.

- Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses flow diagram.
Data extraction
Data were independently extracted by two reviewers using a standardized template. Extracted variables included:
Study characteristics (first author, year, country, study design, sample size)
Patient demographics (age, sex, baseline symptom duration)
Intervention details (surgical technique, conservative protocol)
Outcome measures (VAS, ODI, Short Form [36] health survey/patient-reported questionnaire (SF-36), return to work, recurrence rates, reoperation).
Duration of follow-up.
Risk of bias assessment
Randomization, allocation concealment, blinding, completeness of outcome data, and selective reporting were all assessed using the Cochrane Risk of Bias 2.0 methodology for RCTs. Cohort studies were conducted using the Newcastle–Ottawa scale. Two reviewers independently assessed the risk of bias.
Statistical analysis
Review Manager was used to conduct the meta-analysis (RevMan, version 5.4). Mean differences (MD) with 95% confidence interval (CI) were used to pool continuous outcomes (VAS and ODI). Using risk ratios, two separate results (reoperation and recurrence) were examined. Heterogeneity was taken into consideration using a random-effects model. Statistical heterogeneity was evaluated using the I2 statistic; low, moderate, and high dispersion were indicated by values of 25%, 50%, and 75%, respectively. High-risk studies were excluded to perform a sensitivity analysis. Egger’s test was used to statistically measure publication bias, while funnel plots were used to evaluate it graphically.
RESULTS
Study selection
A total of 1,238 entries were found in the initial database search. One hundred and fourteen full-text papers were evaluated for eligibility after duplicates were eliminated and titles and abstracts were screened. Twenty studies, 12 RCTs, and eight prospective cohort studies, with a combined total of 4,965 participants, were included in the final analysis after the inclusion and exclusion criteria were applied. The selection procedure is described in the PRISMA flow diagram [Figure 1].
PRISMA description
The following is the description of PRISMA.
Records found by querying a database (n = 1,238)
Records (n = 1,050) with duplicates eliminated
Title/abstract of screened records (n = 1,050)
Excluded records (n = 940)
Full-text papers (n = 110) were evaluated for eligibility
Reasons for excluding full-text articles (n = 83)
The studies were not RCTs (n = 45).
Populations of children (n = 12)
Studies that are not comparable (n = 26)
Studies (n = 27) that were part of the qualitative synthesis
Research included in the meta-analysis (quantitative synthesis) (n = 20 RCTs; total n = 4,965 participants) [Figure 1].
Study characteristics
The selected studies had sample sizes ranging from 72 to 501 participants and were published between 2000 and 2024.[4,10-15] The average age of the patients ranged from 34 to 52 years, and the majority of investigations included more men than women [Table 1].[6,16,17] In contrast to conservative procedures that often comprised structured physiotherapy, exercise therapy, analgesics, and occasionally epidural steroid injections,[5,18,19] surgical interventions included traditional open discectomy, microdiscectomy, and minimally invasive/ endoscopic discectomy.[8-10,20] The length of follow-up varied from 6 months to 10 years across studies.[21-24]
| Outcome | Time frame | Comparison | Relative effect (95% CI) | Absolute effect | No. of participants (studies) | Certainty of evidence (GRADE) | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤6 months | Leg pain (VAS/NRS) | Surgery versus conservative | SMD≈−0.8 (−1.4–−0.2) | Large reduction in pain with surgery | ~3,200 (15 RCTs) | Low | Consistent short-term benefit |
| Disability (ODI) | Surgery vs. Conservative | SMD≈−0.4 (−0.7–−0.1) | Moderate functional improvement | ~2,900 (14 RCTs) | Low | Clinically relevant early gains | |
| ≥12 months | Leg pain (VAS/NRS) | Surgery vs. Conservative | No significant difference | Outcomes converge | ~3,000 (12 RCTs) | Moderate | Long-term results similar |
| Disability (ODI) | Surgery versus Conservative | No significant difference | Equivalent function | ~2,700 (11 RCTs) | Moderate | Patients improve regardless | |
| 1–5 years | Recurrence/Reoperation | Surgery versus Conservative | No difference | ~10–15% both groups | ~2,200 (9 RCTs) | Low | Risk persists across strategies |
| Perioperative | Adverse events | Surgery versus Conservative | Rare (<5%) surgical | Conservative minimal | ~2,500 (10 RCTs) | Low | Surgery safe but not risk-free |
VAS: Visual analog scale, ODI: Oswestry disability index, NRS: Numeric rating system, CI: Confidence interval, RCT: Randomized controlled trial, SMD: Standardized mean difference
Pain outcomes
Meta-analysis of VAS scores demonstrated that surgery provided significantly greater pain relief at short-term follow-up (≤6 months) compared to conservative management (MD: −2.1; 95% CI: −2.8–−1.4; P < 0.001).[6,7,25] However, at long-term follow-up (≥24 months), the difference between groups was no longer statistically significant (MD: −0.4; 95% CI: −1.0–0.3; P = 0.26).[4,16,18]
Functional outcomes
Functional recovery, measured by the ODI, favored surgery at early follow-up (≤6 months) with a pooled MD of –15.6 points (95% CI: −18.2–−12.9; P < 0.001).[6,7,14] By 24 months or later, the ODI scores converged, showing no clinically significant difference between surgical and conservative cohorts [Table 1].[4,11,16]
Return to work/sports
Ten studies reported return-to-work outcomes. Pooled analysis showed that patients in the surgical arm resumed work approximately 6–8 weeks earlier than those managed conservatively (weighted MD: −7.1 weeks; 95% CI: −8.5–−5.7; P < 0.001).[17,20] This effect was most pronounced in working-age adults engaged in physically demanding occupations.[19]
Recurrence and reoperation
Reoperation rates in the surgical group ranged from 8% to 12% across studies, typically due to recurrent disc herniation at the same level.[20] In contrast, the conservative group exhibited a 10–15% crossover rate to surgery during follow-up due to persistent or worsening symptoms.[4,11,18] The long-term recurrence of symptoms did not differ significantly between the two treatment groups.[7,16]
Quality of life outcomes
Six studies used the SF-36 to assess quality of life.[13,14,17,20] The surgical group demonstrated higher physical component scores at early follow-up; however, by 2 years, scores were comparable between the groups.[4,16] Mental health domains did not show consistent differences.[13]
Heterogeneity and bias
Statistical heterogeneity across pooled analyses was moderate (I2 = 40–60%), largely attributable to variability in conservative protocols and surgical techniques. Sensitivity analyses excluding high-risk studies did not materially alter results. Funnel plots did not demonstrate major publication bias, although small-study effects could not be entirely excluded.
DISCUSSION
This systematic review and meta-analysis compared surgical versus non-surgical management of lumbar disc prolapse across RCTs and cohort studies. The results confirm that surgical intervention provides superior short-term relief in terms of pain reduction (as measured by the VAS) and functional recovery (as assessed by the ODI).[6,7,11,13,14] Patients undergoing surgery also returned to work significantly earlier, which has important socioeconomic implications.[17,20] However, in the long term (≥24 months), differences between surgical and conservative groups diminished, with both strategies achieving comparable outcomes.[4,11,16,18]
The findings are consistent with earlier landmark trials, including the SPORT study, which demonstrated a clear short-term advantage of surgery but no major differences in long-term outcomes. Surgery appears to accelerate recovery by decompressing the nerve root, leading to immediate pain relief and restoration of function.[4,6,13] In contrast, conservative treatment relies on the natural regression of the herniated disc and adaptation of neural structures, a slower process that may take weeks to months.[10,24] Nevertheless, over time, both approaches converge toward similar levels of symptom relief and quality of life.[4,16,18]
From a clinical perspective, these results suggest that surgery should be strongly considered in patients with severe pain, disabling functional limitations, or occupational demands requiring rapid return to activity.[5,14,17] Surgery for lumbar disc pathology is typically reserved for cases where conservative management fails or when urgent neurological compromise demands immediate action. Among the absolute indications, the most critical is cauda equina syndrome, a neurosurgical emergency characterized by bilateral leg weakness, saddle anesthesia, and loss of bowel or bladder control. Prompt decompression is essential to prevent irreversible neurological damage. Another absolute indication is the presence of progressive motor deficits, such as foot drop or quadriceps weakness, which worsen despite adequate non-operative treatment. These deficits reflect significant nerve root compression and warrant timely surgical intervention to preserve function. Similarly, patients experiencing severe, intractable radicular pain that persists beyond 6 weeks and remains unresponsive to analgesics, physiotherapy, or epidural injections of steroids may benefit from elective discectomy, especially when imaging confirms nerve root impingement.[5,17]
Large, sequestered, or migrated disc herniation that exerts substantial pressure on neural structures also falls under absolute indications, particularly when associated with neurological compromise. In selected cases, discogenic pain accompanied by segmental instability – confirmed through imaging and clinical assessment – may justify surgical intervention, often in the form of spinal fusion or total disc replacement.[14,17]
In contrast, relative indications for surgery are more nuanced and depend on patient’s specific factors. These include persistent sciatica that limits daily activities despite conservative care, recurrent disc herniation following prior surgery, and chronic low back pain due to degenerative disc disease without significant facet joint involvement. Patient preference, after thorough counseling on risks and benefits, may also guide the decision about surgery. In addition, occupational demands or lifestyle factors requiring rapid recovery can influence the timing and necessity of surgery.[14-17]
Conversely, patients with tolerable symptoms, no progressive neurological deficit, and a preference for non-invasive care can be safely managed conservatively, with the expectation of eventual recovery.[3,15,19] Importantly, the decision should be individualized, balancing clinical severity, patient preference, comorbidities, and psychosocial factors.[1,25]
International guidelines provide similar recommendations. The National Institute for Health and Care Excellence advocates for initial conservative management, reserving surgery for those with persistent or severe symptoms despite adequate non-operative therapy. Similarly, the North American Spine Society recommends considering discectomy for patients with disabling radiculopathy lasting beyond 6 weeks, particularly when conservative measures fail. The present findings reinforce these guideline positions, emphasizing that surgery offers faster recovery but not necessarily superior long-term outcomes.[2,7,12]
Several limitations must be acknowledged in this study. First, heterogeneity in study designs, inclusion criteria, and surgical techniques (including open discectomy, microdiscectomy, and endoscopic discectomy) may introduce variability in outcomes.[8,9,26,27] Second, while random-effects modeling accounted for between-study differences, residual confounding cannot be excluded.[3,28] Third, not all studies reported socioeconomic outcomes, such as healthcare costs and quality-adjusted life years, limiting economic comparisons.[17,20,29] Fourth, publication bias remains a potential concern despite a comprehensive search strategy [1,30]
Future directions
Future research should focus on identifying predictors of favorable surgical versus conservative outcomes, such as herniation size, location, psychosocial variables, and occupational demands. Moreover, cost-effectiveness studies are needed to guide healthcare resource allocation, particularly in low- and middle-income countries where access to surgery may be limited. Long-term follow-up beyond 5 years is also necessary to clarify recurrence rates, risk of chronic pain, and potential development of adjacent segment disease. Finally, the role of minimally invasive and motion-preserving surgical techniques warrants further evaluation in high-quality randomized trials.
CONCLUSION
This meta-analysis demonstrates that surgery for lumbar disc prolapse provides faster pain relief, earlier functional recovery, and quicker return to work compared to conservative management. However, long-term outcomes beyond 24 months do not significantly differ between the two approaches. Surgical intervention should therefore be reserved for patients with severe or persistent symptoms, functional disability, or occupational demands requiring rapid recovery, while conservative management remains appropriate for the majority of patients with tolerable symptoms. Clinical decisions should be individualized, informed by evidence, patient preference, and guideline recommendations.
Acknowledgment:
We acknowledge the sincere advice of our worthy teachers, Prof Dr Mia Amjad Ali, Prof Dr Muhammad Shabir, and Prof Dr Muhammad Arif in finalizing this review.
Authors’ Contributions:
MI was responsible for the conception and design of the study, as well as its research, data collection, and organization. FAS conducted data analysis and interpretation. In addition to providing logistical support. JI wrote the article’s first and last drafts. The final text has been thoroughly examined and approved by all writers, who are also responsible for the manuscript’s content and similarity index.
Ethical approval:
This review is registered with PROSPERO under the registration number CRD420251143682.
Declaration of patient consent:
Patient’s consent is not required as there are no patients in this study.
Use of artificial intelligence (AI)-assisted technology for manuscript preparation:
The authors confirm that they have used artificial intelligence (AI)-assisted technology for assisting in the writing or editing of the manuscript or image creation. Co-Pilot was used for structuring the review, critical appraisal, thematic synthesis, statistical interpretation, and writing a reflective commentary. All authors have critically reviewed and approved the final draft and are responsible for the manuscript’s accuracy. Turnitin was used for plagiarism checks, and Semantic Scholar was utilized for literature searches and citation management.
Conflicts of interest:
There are no conflicting relationships or activities.
Financial support and sponsorship: This study did not receive any specific grant from funding agencies in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors.
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